[hal-00508605] TIMES model for the Reunion Island: addressing reliability of electricity supply

The Reunion Island aims to have in 2030 an energy consumption based to 100% on renewable energy sources. In 2008, the total primary energy consumption was 1295 ktoe, and as most of small islands, the Reunion Island was highly dependent on fossil fuel imports (86.5%). This paper focuses on the target applied to the electricity sector, where the current use of renewable energy sources is 36%. To build plausible options for future energy systems, we rely on long-term planning models { such as the MARKAL/TIMES family of models. The MARKAL/TIMES models optimize energy systems in the long-term with an explicit bottom-up approach through a description of individual technologies. In this paper, we present the results obtained with a TIMES model dedicated to the supply and power sectors of the Reunion Island. We also tackle the technological and economical feasibilities of electricity systems provided by this model, considering in particular the incentives' system and the reliability of electricity supply.



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